Why Hold Period Sensitivity Matters
Stabilized real estate IRR is dominated by exit cap rate. A property bought at a 6% cap and sold at a 6.5% cap gives back ~8% of value at exit — wiping out 200+ bps of IRR. Hold period magnifies this: a 50 bps cap expansion over a 3-year hold is brutal; over a 10-year hold, NOI growth can absorb much of it.
This matrix lets you see both dimensions at once — the standard institutional stress test.
Pair with Pro Forma, IRR + EM, and Risk-Adjusted Return.
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