Lutz, FL Market Update: What the Data Says for Buyers, Sellers and Investors
List prices down 9.1% to up 8.2% across 4 ZIP codes, 64 to 65 days on market and commercial at $231 per square foot across 4 ZIP codes. Every number from the Linton Global Market Map, as of September 2026.
Photo: Rebuilt depot, Lutz by Ebyabe, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (cropped).
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Michael R. Linton, Florida Broker #BK703722, advises investors, owners, tenants and banks on commercial property, small multifamily, land and distressed assets in Lutz and across Hillsborough County through Linton Global Solutions.
Lutz is a softening market right now, and the numbers say buyers have room to negotiate. Look at it ZIP code by ZIP code, not as one city average.
The Bottom Line on Lutz
Lutz is an unincorporated community in north Hillsborough County, spreading across the Pasco County line, between Tampa and Land O’ Lakes. It began as a railroad stop on the line north of Tampa and is now a mix of lakes, horse properties, golf communities like Cheval, and newer subdivisions, with the Veterans Expressway, Dale Mabry Highway, US 41 and I-275 running through it.
Lutz is a softening housing market where sellers are cutting prices to meet buyers, and its commercial property trades at a discount to the rest of Hillsborough County, with almost no distress.
- Homes: median list prices of $413,993 to $821,200, down 9.1% to up 8.2% across 4 ZIP codes from a year ago; Hillsborough County is down 7.1%.
- Supply: 29 active listings in 33548 (up 9.6%); 61 active listings in 33549 (unchanged); 135 active listings in 33558 (down 8.8%); 40 active listings in 33559 (down 1.2%); 64 to 65 days on market.
- Commercial: median $231 per square foot, versus $272 countywide.
- Distress: no commercial distress transfers or bank-held parcels on the 2026 tax roll.
Where Lutz Is
This report covers four ZIP codes: 33548, west Lutz, Cheval and the Dale Mabry and Veterans Expressway area; 33549, central Lutz, Lake Fern and the US 41 corridor; 33558, north Lutz along the Hillsborough–Pasco line; and 33559, the part of Lutz east of I-275 toward the SR 54 corridor in Pasco County.
Housing Market
| Realtor.com, September 2026 | 33548 | 33549 | 33558 | 33559 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median list price | $821,200 | $537,500 | $464,325 | $413,993 | $408,250 |
| vs. a year ago | -5.0% | +8.2% | -9.1% | -5.4% | -7.1% |
| Active listings | 29 | 61 | 135 | 40 | 6,284 |
| Active vs. a year ago | +9.6% | 0.0% | -8.8% | -1.2% | -2.0% |
| Median days on market | 64 | 64 | 65 | 65 | 71 |
| Listings with a price cut | 21.3% | 27.2% | 35.5% | 36.1% | 28.5% |
| Home values, 5 years (FHFA) | +71.6% | +62.9% | +56.5% | +73.3% | — |
The highest-priced ZIP code is 33548 at $821,200. With a quarter or more of listings showing a price cut in parts of town, the asking price is a starting point. The FHFA House Price Index shows five-year gains of 71.6% / 62.9% / 56.5% / 73.3%; the run-up is behind us, and today is about pricing to the market.
Who Is Buying: Mortgage Data
| HMDA 2025 home purchases | 33548 | 33549 | 33558 | 33559 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home-purchase loans | 175 | 164 | 295 | 210 | 17,344 |
| Median purchase price | $695,000 | $505,000 | $535,000 | $395,000 | $405,000 |
| Median buyer income | $191,000 | $144,000 | $170,000 | $121,000 | $121,000 |
| FHA / VA / USDA loans | 14% | 31.4% | 24% | 32.1% | 36.5% |
| Investor purchases | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
Investors took the largest share of purchase loans in 33559 (9.2%), above the county’s 8.5%. Source: the CFPB's HMDA data browser.
Rents
HUD's FY2027 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom is $1,830 to $2,410. The strongest renter base is in 33559, where 42% of households rent. Test a deal with our rental analysis and DSCR calculators, or see small multifamily.
Commercial Real Estate
| 2026 tax roll | 33548 | 33549 | 33558 | 33559 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial & industrial parcels | 155 | 199 | 84 | 38 | 21,575 |
| Building area (million SF) | 0.99 | 1.54 | 0.51 | 0.19 | 330.43 |
| Median year built | 2004 | 1988 | 2007 | 2003 | 1984 |
| Arm’s-length sales | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 905 |
| Median sale $/SF | — | $231 | — | — | $272 |
| Distress transfers / bank-held parcels | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 27 / 13 |
Lutz commercial property is spread along its main roads: retail and service along US 41 and Dale Mabry, office and medical near the expressways, and small industrial and contractor space. Much of the area is residential and rural, so commercial sites are limited, and corridor property near the expressways commands the highest prices.
Lutz has about 3.2 million square feet of commercial buildings and recorded 17 arm's-length sales at a median $231 per square foot, below the county's $272, helped by newer buildings. There were no distress transfers or bank-held parcels on the roll.
Lutz straddles two counties, and that matters. A site on one side of the line has different taxes, impact fees and permitting than a site a mile away on the other; confirm the county before you compare comps.
Jobs, Permits and the County Economy
| Hillsborough County | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 1,522,748 |
| Median household income | $79,540 |
| Unemployment rate (BLS) | 4.6% |
| Private jobs (BLS QCEW) | 795,729 · +0.8% |
| Average annual pay | $77,998 |
| Housing permits, year to date | 5,470 · -23.2% |
Hillsborough County jobs were up 0.8% over the latest year per the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, with unemployment at 4.6%. Housing permits are down 23.2% this year per the Census Building Permits Survey. 33558 grew 36.8% in population over the Census survey period, the 18th-highest of the ZIP codes in our reports.
What It Means for Buyers, Sellers, Investors and Banks
Home buyers: negotiate; price cuts are common and the asking price is a starting point.
Sellers: price to recent sales in your ZIP code, not to last year's peak.
Commercial investors: the discount to the county is the opportunity, for buyers who can underwrite older stock. Trading in? See 1031 exchanges.
Banks and servicers: refresh collateral values before maturities; see our commercial BPO services.
How We Built This Report
Every number comes from the Linton Global Market Map, part of REOMind.ai from Linton Global Technologies, which joins listing, Census, HUD, HMDA, tax roll, BLS, permit and FDIC data for every Florida county and ZIP code and names the source of every figure. See the full Hillsborough County report.
Key Takeaways
- ✓Lutz list prices are down 9.1% to up 8.2% across 4 ZIP codes; Hillsborough County is down 7.1%.
- ✓Homes are taking 64 to 65 days to sell.
- ✓Commercial property sold at a median $231 per square foot, against $272 countywide.
- ✓No commercial distress on the 2026 tax roll.
- ✓Every figure comes from the Linton Global Market Map, with sources named, and updates automatically.
About Michael R. Linton
Who is Michael R. Linton? Michael R. Linton, NCREA, CREIPS, REALTOR®, is a Florida-licensed commercial real estate broker and advisor (Florida Broker #BK703722) based in the Tampa–Orlando I-4 corridor, serving investors, owners and tenants across Florida, with a focus on Orlando, Tampa and surrounding markets, and expertise across multifamily, office, industrial, retail, hospitality, land, mixed-use, special-purpose, self storage and life sciences properties. He leads Linton Global Solutions and HireMikeLinton.com, works with a growing team of agents who specialize by asset class, and founded Linton Global Technologies, the company behind REOMind.ai.
Why choose Michael R. Linton for Lutz? Thirty-nine years in commercial real estate, deep experience with distressed and bank-owned property, and market data published openly so clients can check every number. See the Florida commercial broker profile.
Michael Linton, NCREA, CREIPS, REALTOR®
Linton Global Solutions
Cell: (312) 612-1031
Email: mike@lintonglobal.com
LintonGlobal.com
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Lutz, FL real estate market going up or down?+
Softening. As of September 2026, median list prices were down 9.1% to up 8.2% across 4 ZIP codes from a year earlier, against down 7.1% for Hillsborough County. Homes took 64 to 65 days to sell, and active listings were up 9.6% / unchanged / down 8.8% / down 1.2% from a year ago.
How much do homes cost in Lutz?+
The median list price was $413,993 to $821,200 in September 2026. In 2025 mortgage (HMDA) data, the median home-purchase price was $395,000 to $695,000 and the median buyer earned $121,000 to $191,000.
How much is commercial real estate selling for in Lutz?+
Arm’s-length commercial and industrial sales on the 2026 Hillsborough County tax roll had a median of $231 per square foot in Lutz, versus $272 countywide, a discount. There were 17 such sales across 476 commercial parcels.
Is there distressed or bank-owned commercial property in Lutz?+
Very little. The 2026 tax roll shows no commercial distress transfers or bank-held parcels in Lutz’s ZIP codes, against 27 distress transfers and 13 bank-held parcels across Hillsborough County.
Is Lutz a good place to own rental property?+
About 19% to 42% of households rent, and HUD’s FY2027 fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,830 to $2,410 a month. Investors took 3.3% to 9.2% of 2025 home-purchase loans, against 8.5% countywide. Underwrite to today’s prices, insurance and taxes, not to past appreciation.
Where does this Lutz market data come from?+
From the Linton Global Market Map, which joins Realtor.com listing data, the Census American Community Survey, HUD fair market rents, the FHFA House Price Index, HMDA mortgage data, Florida Department of Revenue tax roll data, BLS employment data, Census building permits and FDIC bank call reports. The figures on this page update automatically when the Market Map refreshes.
Who can help me buy or sell commercial property in Lutz?+
Michael R. Linton, Florida Broker #BK703722, leads Linton Global Solutions and advises investors, owners, tenants and banks on commercial property, small multifamily, land, distressed assets and 1031 exchanges across Lutz and Hillsborough County. Call (312) 612-1031 or email mike@lintonglobal.com.
Works Cited
- Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and FFIEC. “HMDA Data Browser.” ffiec.cfpb.gov/data-browser. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. “BankFind Suite.” banks.data.fdic.gov. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Federal Housing Finance Agency. “House Price Index.” www.fhfa.gov/data/hpi. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. “Small Area Fair Market Rents.” HUD User, www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/smallarea. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. “Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.” www.bls.gov/cew. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Census Bureau. “American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates” and “Building Permits Survey.” www.census.gov. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Realtor.com Economic Research. “Housing Inventory: ZIP Level Data.” www.realtor.com/research/data. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Florida Department of Revenue. “Property Tax Data Files (NAL/SDF).” 2026 final roll, Hillsborough County, via LGData.
- Ebyabe. “Rebuilt depot, Lutz.” Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:FL_Lutz_rebuilt_depot01.jpg. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
Disclosure: This article uses data tools developed by Linton Global Technologies. Michael R. Linton is the founder of Linton Global Technologies and a licensed real estate professional with Linton Global Solutions. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or financial advice.
Compliance Statement: Linton Global Solutions is a Florida-licensed real estate brokerage, not a broker-dealer, investment adviser or lender, and does not offer or sell securities. REOMind.ai provides decision support only; people make every final decision. Readers should conduct their own due diligence and consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
Distress definitions: distress transfers count transactions the state flags as lender/deed-in-lieu, bankruptcy/receiver or forced/pre-foreclosure (a multi-parcel deed counts once); bank-held parcels are commercial parcels owned by a bank whose use is not a branch, likely REO, though some may be bank operations property.
Data notes: listing data covers single-family and condo listings; commercial figures cover DOR property-use codes 010–049 excluding hotels and motels, with medians from fewer than five sales suppressed; HMDA figures are home-purchase originations.