Tampa, FL Market Update: What the Data Says for Buyers, Sellers and Investors
List prices down 5.7% to up 25.7% across 14 ZIP codes, 59 to 95 days on market and commercial at $195 to $567 per square foot across 14 ZIP codes. Every number from the Linton Global Market Map, as of September 2026.
Photo: Tampa Skyline by Sonny SideUp, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (cropped).
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Michael R. Linton, Florida Broker #BK703722, advises investors, owners, tenants and banks on commercial property, small multifamily, land and distressed assets in Tampa and across Hillsborough County through Linton Global Solutions.
Tampa is the biggest commercial market in our reports, and it is not one market. Westshore and South Tampa trade like a major city; the east-side industrial belt trades like a port town. Housing is giving buyers room to negotiate, but on the commercial side the ZIP code is the whole story.
The Bottom Line on Tampa
Tampa is the economic center of the west coast of Florida: the Port Tampa Bay, Tampa International Airport, MacDill Air Force Base, USF and the region's largest office market in Downtown and Westshore. Unlike most of Central Florida, it is a big, old, dense city, which is why its commercial market looks so different from one ZIP code to the next.
Tampa is a rising housing market where sellers are cutting prices to meet buyers, and its commercial property trades in line with the rest of Hillsborough County.
- Homes: median list prices of $319,950 to $1,916,250, down 5.7% to up 25.7% across 14 ZIP codes from a year ago; Hillsborough County is down 7.1%.
- Supply: 195 active listings in 33602 (down 20.0%); 110 active listings in 33603 (down 4.8%); 182 active listings in 33604 (down 0.5%); 110 active listings in 33605 (up 22.4%); 102 active listings in 33606 (down 25.9%); 97 active listings in 33607 (down 8.1%); 126 active listings in 33609 (down 21.7%); 186 active listings in 33610 (up 68.3%); 230 active listings in 33611 (down 3.0%); 133 active listings in 33612 (up 59.3%); 132 active listings in 33614 (up 6.0%); 155 active listings in 33619 (up 47.9%); 166 active listings in 33629 (down 32.3%); 61 active listings in 33634 (up 36.0%); 59 to 95 days on market.
- Commercial: median $195 to $567 per square foot, versus $272 countywide.
- Distress: 25 commercial distress transfers or bank-held parcels on the 2026 tax roll.
Where Tampa Is
Downtown and the Channel District are 33602, with Ybor City and East Tampa in 33605 and Tampa Heights and Seminole Heights in 33603. South Tampa (33606, 33609, 33611, 33629) runs from Hyde Park and Bayshore to Gandy Boulevard; Westshore, the airport and West Tampa are 33607. The industrial belt sits east of downtown along I-4 and US 301 (33610, 33619) and northwest along the Veterans Expressway (33634).
This report covers 33602 (Downtown Tampa and the Channel District), 33603 (Seminole Heights and Tampa Heights), 33604 (North Tampa and the Florida Avenue corridor), 33605 (Ybor City and East Tampa), 33606 (Hyde Park, Davis Islands and Bayshore), 33607 (Westshore, West Tampa and the airport), 33609 (South Tampa, Westshore and the Dale Mabry corridor), 33610 (East Tampa and the I-4 / Orient Road industrial area), 33611 (Southwest Tampa and Gandy Boulevard), 33612 (University area and Busch Boulevard), 33614 (Town 'N' Country east and the Hillsborough Avenue corridor), 33619 (Palm River, Progress Village and the US 301 industrial belt), 33629 (Palma Ceia and the Bayshore corridor), 33634 (Town 'N' Country and the Veterans Expressway industrial parks), compared with Hillsborough County as a whole.
Housing Market
| Realtor.com, September 2026 | 33602 | 33603 | 33604 | 33605 | 33606 | 33607 | 33609 | 33610 | 33611 | 33612 | 33614 | 33619 | 33629 | 33634 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median list price | $842,000 | $499,900 | $412,028 | $319,950 | $1,199,472 | $457,500 | $768,750 | $325,000 | $542,225 | $355,000 | $407,500 | $326,950 | $1,916,250 | $437,400 | $408,250 |
| vs. a year ago | +5.2% | -5.7% | -4.7% | -2.2% | +7.8% | +1.7% | +10.0% | -4.7% | +3.6% | -1.3% | +7.2% | +2.5% | +25.7% | +0.7% | -7.1% |
| Active listings | 195 | 110 | 182 | 110 | 102 | 97 | 126 | 186 | 230 | 133 | 132 | 155 | 166 | 61 | 6,284 |
| Active vs. a year ago | -20.0% | -4.8% | -0.5% | +22.4% | -25.9% | -8.1% | -21.7% | +68.3% | -3.0% | +59.3% | +6.0% | +47.9% | -32.3% | +36.0% | -2.0% |
| Median days on market | 82 | 65 | 65 | 63 | 95 | 72 | 69 | 77 | 67 | 64 | 67 | 59 | 86 | 84 | 71 |
| Listings with a price cut | 22.1% | 31.3% | 27.2% | 35.2% | 29.5% | 24.7% | 25.6% | 34.8% | 28.5% | 30.7% | 30.1% | 37.1% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 28.5% |
| Home values, 5 years (FHFA) | +64.4% | +57.1% | +63.6% | +71.5% | +79.6% | +77.4% | +62.9% | +67.5% | +56.5% | +72.5% | +89.0% | +73.2% | +62.0% | +60.9% | — |
The highest-priced ZIP code is 33629 at $1,916,250. With a quarter or more of listings showing a price cut in parts of town, the asking price is a starting point. The FHFA House Price Index shows five-year gains of 64.4% / 57.1% / 63.6% / 71.5% / 79.6% / 77.4% / 62.9% / 67.5% / 56.5% / 72.5% / 89% / 73.2% / 62% / 60.9%; the run-up is behind us, and today is about pricing to the market.
Who Is Buying: Mortgage Data
| HMDA 2025 home purchases | 33602 | 33603 | 33604 | 33605 | 33606 | 33607 | 33609 | 33610 | 33611 | 33612 | 33614 | 33619 | 33629 | 33634 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home-purchase loans | 193 | 296 | 503 | 229 | 166 | 244 | 223 | 516 | 469 | 433 | 326 | 373 | 322 | 204 | 17,344 |
| Median purchase price | $635,000 | $495,000 | $375,000 | $325,000 | $845,000 | $505,000 | $795,000 | $325,000 | $565,000 | $345,000 | $405,000 | $335,000 | $1,295,000 | $395,000 | $405,000 |
| Median buyer income | $281,000 | $166,000 | $101,000 | $106,000 | $357,000 | $156,000 | $266,000 | $95,000 | $178,000 | $94,000 | $105,000 | $92,000 | $381,000 | $111,000 | $121,000 |
| FHA / VA / USDA loans | 4.3% | 16.6% | 36.8% | 32.5% | 4.5% | 18.6% | 6.7% | 40% | 18.5% | 40% | 36% | 41.2% | 4.6% | 39.4% | 36.5% |
| Investor purchases | 14.4% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 26.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11% | 14.8% | 16% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
Investors took the largest share of purchase loans in 33607 (26.4%), above the county’s 8.5%. Source: the CFPB's HMDA data browser.
Rents
HUD's FY2027 Small Area Fair Market Rent for a two-bedroom is $1,540 to $2,880. The strongest renter base is in 33602, where 73% of households rent. Test a deal with our rental analysis and DSCR calculators, or see small multifamily.
Commercial Real Estate
| 2026 tax roll | 33602 | 33603 | 33604 | 33605 | 33606 | 33607 | 33609 | 33610 | 33611 | 33612 | 33614 | 33619 | 33629 | 33634 | Hillsborough County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial & industrial parcels | 782 | 584 | 782 | 1200 | 692 | 977 | 715 | 1358 | 460 | 846 | 1151 | 1757 | 402 | 701 | 21,575 |
| Building area (million SF) | 16.21 | 2.96 | 3.79 | 13.7 | 5 | 24.27 | 11.39 | 23.78 | 5.12 | 12.75 | 13.37 | 40.85 | 2.29 | 23.47 | 330.43 |
| Median year built | 1953 | 1962 | 1962 | 1963 | 1959 | 1978 | 1973 | 1985 | 1983 | 1980 | 1981 | 1985 | 1961 | 1983 | 1984 |
| Arm’s-length sales | 18 | 22 | 31 | 41 | 33 | 37 | 23 | 79 | 22 | 39 | 61 | 58 | 21 | 43 | 905 |
| Median sale $/SF | $376 | $290 | $234 | $300 | $567 | $288 | $360 | $508 | $306 | $227 | $236 | $195 | $446 | $224 | $272 |
| Distress transfers / bank-held parcels | 0 / 0 | 3 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 3 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 | 2 / 1 | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 1 / 2 | 1 / 1 | 3 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 1 / 2 | 27 / 13 |
Tampa is really three commercial markets. South Tampa and Westshore are the premium office and retail districts: 33606 sold at $567 per square foot. The east side is industrial and logistics: 49% of 33619's commercial parcels are industrial, with a median year built of 1985 and a median sale of $195 a foot. In between are older neighborhood retail corridors on Florida Avenue, Busch Boulevard and Hillsborough Avenue, where the stock is older and pricing is lower.
Tampa has about 199 million square feet of commercial buildings and recorded 528 arm's-length sales at a median $195 to $567 per square foot, close to the county's $272. There were 25 distress signals; we score them with Linton Global Technologies' CREDDS Framework (see our distressed commercial real estate hub).
If you’re buying in Tampa, decide first whether you want a location premium or a basis. South Tampa buildings sell at $195 to $567 a foot and up for the address; the industrial ZIPs along I-4 and US 301 are where an owner-user or a value-add buyer can still get in. The distress on the roll is worth a look before it hits the market.
Jobs, Permits and the County Economy
| Hillsborough County | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 1,522,748 |
| Median household income | $79,540 |
| Unemployment rate (BLS) | 4.6% |
| Private jobs (BLS QCEW) | 795,729 · +0.8% |
| Average annual pay | $77,998 |
| Housing permits, year to date | 5,470 · -23.2% |
Hillsborough County jobs were up 0.8% over the latest year per the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, with unemployment at 4.6%. Housing permits are down 23.2% this year per the Census Building Permits Survey. 33602 grew 37.6% in population over the Census survey period, the 8th-highest of the ZIP codes in our reports.
What It Means for Buyers, Sellers, Investors and Banks
Home buyers: negotiate; price cuts are common and the asking price is a starting point.
Sellers: price to recent sales in your ZIP code, not to last year's peak.
Commercial investors: pricing is in line with the county; the edge is in the specific building. Trading in? See 1031 exchanges.
Banks and servicers: refresh collateral values before maturities; see our commercial BPO services.
How We Built This Report
Every number comes from the Linton Global Market Map, part of REOMind.ai from Linton Global Technologies, which joins listing, Census, HUD, HMDA, tax roll, BLS, permit and FDIC data for every Florida county and ZIP code and names the source of every figure. See the full Hillsborough County report.
Key Takeaways
- ✓Tampa list prices are down 5.7% to up 25.7% across 14 ZIP codes; Hillsborough County is down 7.1%.
- ✓Homes are taking 59 to 95 days to sell.
- ✓Commercial property sold at a median $195 to $567 per square foot, against $272 countywide.
- ✓25 commercial distress signals on the 2026 tax roll.
- ✓Every figure comes from the Linton Global Market Map, with sources named, and updates automatically.
About Michael R. Linton
Who is Michael R. Linton? Michael R. Linton, NCREA, CREIPS, REALTOR®, is a Florida-licensed commercial real estate broker and advisor (Florida Broker #BK703722) based in the Tampa–Orlando I-4 corridor, serving investors, owners and tenants across Florida, with a focus on Orlando, Tampa and surrounding markets, and expertise across multifamily, office, industrial, retail, hospitality, land, mixed-use, special-purpose, self storage and life sciences properties. He leads Linton Global Solutions and HireMikeLinton.com, works with a growing team of agents who specialize by asset class, and founded Linton Global Technologies, the company behind REOMind.ai.
Why choose Michael R. Linton for Tampa? Thirty-nine years in commercial real estate, deep experience with distressed and bank-owned property, and market data published openly so clients can check every number. See the Florida commercial broker profile.
Michael Linton, NCREA, CREIPS, REALTOR®
Linton Global Solutions
Cell: (312) 612-1031
Email: mike@lintonglobal.com
LintonGlobal.com
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the Tampa, FL real estate market going up or down?+
Rising. As of September 2026, median list prices were down 5.7% to up 25.7% across 14 ZIP codes from a year earlier, against down 7.1% for Hillsborough County. Homes took 59 to 95 days to sell, and active listings were down 20.0% / down 4.8% / down 0.5% / up 22.4% / down 25.9% / down 8.1% / down 21.7% / up 68.3% / down 3.0% / up 59.3% / up 6.0% / up 47.9% / down 32.3% / up 36.0% from a year ago.
How much do homes cost in Tampa?+
The median list price was $319,950 to $1,916,250 in September 2026. In 2025 mortgage (HMDA) data, the median home-purchase price was $325,000 to $1,295,000 and the median buyer earned $92,000 to $381,000.
How much is commercial real estate selling for in Tampa?+
Arm’s-length commercial and industrial sales on the 2026 Hillsborough County tax roll had a median of $195 to $567 per square foot in Tampa, versus $272 countywide. There were 528 such sales across 12,407 commercial parcels.
Is there distressed or bank-owned commercial property in Tampa?+
Some. The 2026 tax roll shows 17 commercial distress transfers and 8 bank-held parcels in Tampa’s ZIP codes, out of 27 and 13 across Hillsborough County.
Is Tampa a good place to own rental property?+
About 20% to 73% of households rent, and HUD’s FY2027 fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,540 to $2,880 a month. Investors took 8.1% to 26.4% of 2025 home-purchase loans, against 8.5% countywide. Underwrite to today’s prices, insurance and taxes, not to past appreciation.
Where does this Tampa market data come from?+
From the Linton Global Market Map, which joins Realtor.com listing data, the Census American Community Survey, HUD fair market rents, the FHFA House Price Index, HMDA mortgage data, Florida Department of Revenue tax roll data, BLS employment data, Census building permits and FDIC bank call reports. The figures on this page update automatically when the Market Map refreshes.
Who can help me buy or sell commercial property in Tampa?+
Michael R. Linton, Florida Broker #BK703722, leads Linton Global Solutions and advises investors, owners, tenants and banks on commercial property, small multifamily, land, distressed assets and 1031 exchanges across Tampa and Hillsborough County. Call (312) 612-1031 or email mike@lintonglobal.com.
Works Cited
- Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and FFIEC. “HMDA Data Browser.” ffiec.cfpb.gov/data-browser. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. “BankFind Suite.” banks.data.fdic.gov. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Federal Housing Finance Agency. “House Price Index.” www.fhfa.gov/data/hpi. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. “Small Area Fair Market Rents.” HUD User, www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/smallarea. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. “Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.” www.bls.gov/cew. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- U.S. Census Bureau. “American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates” and “Building Permits Survey.” www.census.gov. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Realtor.com Economic Research. “Housing Inventory: ZIP Level Data.” www.realtor.com/research/data. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
- Florida Department of Revenue. “Property Tax Data Files (NAL/SDF).” 2026 final roll, Hillsborough County, via LGData.
- Sonny SideUp. “Tampa Skyline.” Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0, commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tampa_Skyline.jpg. Accessed 19 Oct. 2026.
Disclosure: This article uses data tools developed by Linton Global Technologies. Michael R. Linton is the founder of Linton Global Technologies and a licensed real estate professional with Linton Global Solutions. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or financial advice.
Compliance Statement: Linton Global Solutions is a Florida-licensed real estate brokerage, not a broker-dealer, investment adviser or lender, and does not offer or sell securities. CREDDS and REOMind.ai provide decision support only; people make every final decision. Readers should conduct their own due diligence and consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions.
Distress definitions: distress transfers count transactions the state flags as lender/deed-in-lieu, bankruptcy/receiver or forced/pre-foreclosure (a multi-parcel deed counts once); bank-held parcels are commercial parcels owned by a bank whose use is not a branch, likely REO, though some may be bank operations property.
Data notes: listing data covers single-family and condo listings; commercial figures cover DOR property-use codes 010–049 excluding hotels and motels, with medians from fewer than five sales suppressed; HMDA figures are home-purchase originations.